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Home › England › Premier League › Arsenal — Leeds

Predictions by Market: Arsenal vs Leeds

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 11:30
2:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D D W D L Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee Paul Tierney

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ARS
74%
Best 1.47
Draw
19%
Best 4.75
Away Win · LEE
7%
Best 8.50
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.42
Fair odds
1.32
book 1.42 · +7.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 76% · EV +7.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.9%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.3%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 60.4%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 39.6%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 92.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.3%
Odds 6.70
Show model details
Implied probability 14.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
ARS – LEE @ 1.42
+7.4%
Edge
Forecast →