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Home › England › Premier League › Manchester United — Tottenham

Manchester United vs Tottenham 1:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W D L D D
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Tottenham
Tottenham
L D D L D Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Stuart Attwell
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 66% · book 1.66 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.34 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.50 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.82 – 1.62
Δ −0.80
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.50 — +12.1% better than the market.

Manchester United enter this clash with a clear quality and home edge, showing stronger attacking potential against Tottenham's leaky defense. Their recent form suggests some resilience, while Tottenham struggles to find consistency on the road. Expect a controlled tempo with United pressing high and exploiting set-piece chances.

  • Home momentum with superior offensive firepower
  • Compact defensive block from Tottenham may limit goals
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favors a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 45% Implied 40% +1.50u
+150%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MUN 4-2-3-1 · TOT 4-2-3-1
MUN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · TOT 1 Lammens 15 Yoro 5 Maguire 6 Martínez 23 Shaw 18 Tielemans 37 Mainoo 16 Diallo 8 Fernandes 19 Mbeumo ⚽ 10 Cunha 31 Kinský 14 Gray 6 van Hecke 5 Senesi 13 Udogie 15 Bergvall 16 Tonali 17 Sávio 8 Gallagher 20 Kudus 19 Solanke ⚽
Subs used · MUN
59' Zirkzee ↑ · Diallo ↓
59' Dalot ↑ · Yoro ↓
59' Baleba ↑ · Tielemans ↓
90+5' Rashford ↑ · Cunha ↓
90+5' Heaven ↑ · Shaw ↓
Subs used · TOT
66' Bentancur ↑ · Bergvall ↓
66' Marmoush ↑ · Kudus ↓
74' Maddison ↑ · Gallagher ↓
74' Ven ↑ · Udogie ↓
89' Fernandes ↑ · Senesi ↓

Statistics

MUN 1 – 1 TOT
45%
Possession (%)
55%
0.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.62
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
16
4
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

20 · 1 – 1
4'
▮
Conor Gallagher
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
Joshua Zirkzee ↓ · Amad Diallo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
Diogo Dalot ↓ · Leny Yoro ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
Carlos Baleba ↓ · Youri Tielemans ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
59'
66'
⇄
Rodrigo Bentancur ↓ · Lucas Bergvall ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
Omar Marmoush ↓ · Mohammed Kudus ↑
Substitution 2
Bryan Mbeumo
Assist · Matheus Cunha · 1–0
⚽
73'
74'
⇄
James Maddison ↓ · Conor Gallagher ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
Micky van de Ven ↓ · Destiny Udogie ↑
Substitution 4
78'
▮
Rodrigo Bentancur
Red Card
78'
▮
Jan Paul van Hecke
Yellow Card
Luke Shaw
Yellow Card
▮
78'
Bruno Fernandes
Yellow Card
▮
84'
Lisandro Martínez
Yellow Card
▮
87'
89'
⇄
Mateus Fernandes ↓ · Marcos Senesi ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
⚽
Dominic Solanke
Assist · Sandro Tonali · 1–1
Marcus Rashford ↓ · Matheus Cunha ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+5'
Ayden Heaven ↓ · Luke Shaw ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+5'
Diogo Dalot
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
90+8'
▮
Archie Gray
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Manchester United and Tottenham drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.62 to 0.82. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bryan Mbeumo (73'), Dominic Solanke (90+2'). Rodrigo Bentancur was sent off in the 78' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.59 units (Brier 0.195).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.66 1.67 66% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
BTTS No 2.34 2.49 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.50 2.62 45% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Home Win 1.65 1.74 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.23 2.10 37% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.32 2.25 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.10 5.49 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.18 1.20 85% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.47 1.47 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.25 1.30 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.54 1.50 50% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 17.86 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.17 4.10 22% Cashed +3.17 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.11 1.13 77% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Away Win 4.75 4.41 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.65 3.33 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.59u −9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MUN – TOT @ 2.50
+12.1%
Edge
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