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Home › England › Premier League › Nottingham Forest — Coventry

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry 0:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Home · last 5 L D D W L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Coventry
Coventry
L L L L W Away · last 5
Wembley Stadium · London Referee Jarred Gillett
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 2.00 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 2.05 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 36% · book 2.23 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
63% – 37%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.7% better than the market.

Nottingham Forest hosts Coventry in a clash where home momentum could be key. Forest's recent form shows signs of stabilization, while Coventry struggles with a string of losses. The home side's slightly better recent points per game and a modest attacking edge suggest a compact, disciplined approach. Expect a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, as both teams have shown defensive resilience despite offensive struggles.

  • Forest's home steadiness versus Coventry's away woes
  • Defensive solidity may limit scoring chances
  • Moderate pace hints at a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u
+100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

NOT 3-4-2-1 · COV 3-4-2-1
Subs used · NOT
59' Jesus ↑ · Ndoye ↓
73' Wood ↑ · Diomande ↓
83' Netz ↑ · Muñoz ↓
83' Sangaré ↑ · Mcatee ↓
Subs used · COV
45' Tchaouna ↑ · Mason-Clark ↓
74' Simms ↑ · Rudoni ↓
90+1' Latibeaudiere ↑ · Yirenkyi ↓

Statistics

NOT 0 – 1 COV
63%
Possession (%)
37%
24
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
6
12
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

10 · 0 – 1
45'
⇄
Loum Tchaouna ↓ · Ephron Mason-Clark ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
55'
⚽
Jay Dasilva
Assist · Carl Rushworth · 0–1
Liam Delap
Yellow Card
▮
59'
Igor Jesus ↓ · Dan Ndoye ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
Chris Wood ↓ · Ousmane Diomande ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
74'
⇄
Ellis Simms ↓ · Jack Rudoni ↑
Substitution 2
Luca Netz ↓ · Daniel Muñoz ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
Ibrahim Sangaré ↓ · James Mcatee ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
90+1'
⇄
Joel Latibeaudiere ↓ · Caleb Yirenkyi ↑
Substitution 3
Jair Cunha
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Coventry won 1–0 away at Nottingham Forest. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 10, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2.

On the scoresheet: Jay Dasilva (55').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.14 units (Brier 0.292).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.00 2.00 57% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 1.98 56% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.23 2.25 36% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Home Win 1.59 1.63 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 1.80 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 1.75 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 12.05 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.92 4.00 34% Cashed +2.92 Cashed
Away Win 4.50 5.49 26% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.38 1.36 78% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 1.15 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.92 3.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.75 3.95 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.03 3.91 13% Cashed +3.03 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 82% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 1.22 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.22 1.23 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +4.14u +24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
NOT – COV @ 2.00
+14.7%
Edge
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