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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Aston Villa

Predictions by Market: Tottenham vs Aston Villa

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 11:30
2:3
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L D L W D Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Samuel Barrott

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOT
45%
Best 2.03
Draw
26%
Best 3.74
Away Win · AST
29%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 1.41
Fair odds
1.31
book 1.41 · +7.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 76% · EV +7.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 33.2%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 46%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29.2%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
TOT – AST @ 1.41
+7.4%
Edge
Forecast →