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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Brentford

Bournemouth vs Brentford 2:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
D D D W D Away · last 5
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.56 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.69 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 38% · book 2.55 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.56 — +8.4% better than the market.

Bournemouth and Brentford face off in a tight Premier League clash where recent form suggests a balanced contest. Brentford holds a slight edge in recent points per game, while Bournemouth’s home momentum and compact defensive setup could frustrate visitors. Expect a moderate tempo with chances on both ends, as both sides have shown resilience and the ability to score.

  • Bournemouth’s home solidity vs Brentford’s sharper recent form
  • Balanced attacking threats likely to create goal opportunities
  • Moderate pace hinted by odds favors a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.56 ✓ Cashed
AI 42% Implied 39% +1.56u
+156%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-3-3
BOU · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · BRE 1 Petrović 15 Smith 5 Hill 14 Silva 3 Truffert 8 Scott 12 Adams 37 Rayan 19 Kluivert ⚽ 16 Tavernier ⚽ 9 Evanilson 1 Kelleher 2 Hickey 20 Ajer 44 Schuster 23 Lewis-Potter 18 Sangaré 6 Yarmolyuk 27 Janelt 19 Anthony 9 Thiago 7 Schade ⚽
Subs used · BOU
66' Christie ↑ · Kluivert ↓
82' Gannon-Doak ↑ · Rocha ↓
82' Cook ↑ · Adams ↓
83' Brooks ↑ · Tavernier ↓
90+1' Rodríguez ↑ · Evanilson ↓
Subs used · BRE
60' Damsgaard ↑ · Yarmoliuk ↓
60' Diouf ↑ · Lewis-Potter ↓
60' Ouattara ↑ · Anthony ↓
71' Kayode ↑ · Hickey ↓

Statistics

BOU 2 – 2 BRE
56%
Possession (%)
44%
20
Total Shots
8
10
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
13
5
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match events

19 · 2 – 2
34'
⚽
Kevin Schade
Assist · Yehor Yarmoliuk · 0–1
Justin Kluivert
1–1
⚽
38'
45+3'
▮
Igor Thiago
Yellow Card
Marcus Tavernier
Yellow Card
▮
45+4'
Half-time · 1 – 1
Marcus Tavernier
Assist · Francisco Evanilson · 2–1
⚽
52'
56'
⚽
Kevin Schade
2–2
60'
⇄
Mikkel Damsgaard ↓ · Yehor Yarmoliuk ↑
Substitution 1
60'
⇄
El Hadji Malick Diouf ↓ · Keane Lewis-Potter ↑
Substitution 2
60'
⇄
Dango Ouattara ↓ · Jaidon Anthony ↑
Substitution 3
James Hill
Yellow Card
▮
63'
Ryan Christie ↓ · Justin Kluivert ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
71'
⇄
Michael Kayode ↓ · Aaron Hickey ↑
Substitution 4
Ben Gannon-Doak ↓ · Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
82'
Lewis Cook ↓ · Tyler Adams ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
David Brooks ↓ · Marcus Tavernier ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Lewis Cook
Yellow Card
▮
85'
Adam Smith
Yellow Card
▮
87'
David Brooks
Yellow Card
▮
89'
Álvaro Rodríguez ↓ · Francisco Evanilson ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Bournemouth and Brentford drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 8, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Kevin Schade (34'), Justin Kluivert (38'), Marcus Tavernier (52'), Kevin Schade (56').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.57 units (Brier 0.153).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.56 2.50 42% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.69 1.62 63% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
Home Win 2.55 2.45 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.62 2.80 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 2.50 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.26 2.30 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.91 1.83 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.99 2.07 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 1.42 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.50 1.52 62% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.55 1.50 65% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.48 1.50 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 1.02 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 1.16 83% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.60 26% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.38 4.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.95 14.93 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.57u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
BOU – BRE @ 2.56
+8.4%
Edge
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