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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Brentford

Predictions by Market: Bournemouth vs Brentford

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
D D D W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BOU
38%
Best 2.30
Draw
26%
Best 3.65
Away Win · BRE
36%
Best 3.10
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.56
Fair odds
2.36
book 2.56 · +8.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +8.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (58%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 82.9%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.1%
Odds 4.38
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 13.95
Show model details
Implied probability 7.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.6%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
BOU – BRE @ 2.56
+8.4%
Edge
Forecast →