Brighton vs Leeds 1:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 1.5 at 1.26 — +5.4% better than the market.

Brighton enters this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a perfect recent record and a strong scoring threat. Their attacking edge contrasts with Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting Brighton can control the tempo and create chances. Leeds, however, have shown resilience and could exploit set-piece opportunities if Brighton's compact block lapses.

Brighton's home form and goal threat stand out.
Leeds' defense may struggle under pressure.
Match likely to feature a lively pace with goal chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 1.5

Over 1.5 @ 1.26 ✓ Cashed

AI 84% Implied 80% +0.26u

+26%

ROI on stake

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · LEE 3-4-2-1

BRI · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · LEE

19 Kostoulas

Subs used · BRI

77'

David ↑ ·

Cuyper ↓

78'

Costinha ↑ ·

Kadıoğlu ↓

90+3'

Struijk ↑ ·

Boscagli ↓

Subs used · LEE

61'

Bijol ↑ ·

Bogle ↓

62'

Aaronson ↑ ·

Okafor ↓

73'

Wilson ↑ ·

Tanaka ↓

73'

Nmecha ↑ ·

Calvert-Lewin ↓

Statistics

BRI 1 – 1 LEE

67%

Possession (%)

33%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 1 – 1

▮

Jayden Bogle

Yellow Card

15'

⚽

Jayden Bogle

Assist · Ao Tanaka · 0–1

Pascal Groß

Yellow Card

▮

38'

Half-time · 0 – 1

Maxim De Cuyper

Yellow Card

▮

49'

61'

⇄

Jaka Bijol ↓ · Jayden Bogle ↑

Substitution 1

62'

⇄

Brenden Aaronson ↓ · Noah Okafor ↑

Substitution 2

64'

▮

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Yellow Card

Luka Vuskovic

Assist · Maxim De Cuyper · 1–1

⚽

71'

73'

⇄

Harry Wilson ↓ · Ao Tanaka ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

Lukas Nmecha ↓ · Dominic Calvert-Lewin ↑

Substitution 4

Promise David ↓ · Maxim De Cuyper ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

77'

Costinha ↓ · Ferdi Kadıoğlu ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

85'

▮

Harry Wilson

Yellow Card

Promise David

Yellow Card

▮

88'

Pascal Struijk ↓ · Olivier Boscagli ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Brighton and Leeds drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Jayden Bogle (15'), Luka Vuskovic (71').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.00 units (Brier 0.208).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.90	1.91	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.03	2.02	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.01	2.10	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.74	1.69	53%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	1.78	51%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.95	1.91	37%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.08	3.10	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	1.25	84%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.29	1.29	75%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Away Win	4.27	3.70	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.63	3.50	25%	Cashed	+2.63	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	1.33	56%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.85	2.72	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.45	1.49	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.70	3.70	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−2.00u	−13% ROI

Brighton vs Leeds 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled