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Home › England › Premier League › Brighton — Leeds

Predictions by Market: Brighton vs Leeds

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 L D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D D W D L Away · last 5
Referee S. Attwell

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRI
49%
Best 2.08
Draw
25%
Best 3.74
Away Win · LEE
22%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Over 1.5
@ 1.26
Fair odds
1.19
book 1.26 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 84% · EV +5.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.4%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 21.7%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.2%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.8%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 23.4%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 1.5
BRI – LEE @ 1.26
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →