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Home England Premier League Chelsea — Brighton

Predictions Chelsea vs Brighton August 30, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 13:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Brighton
Brighton
W Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee M. Oliver
Home Win · CHE
46%
Best 1.98
Draw
25%
Best 3.96
Away Win · BRI
29%
Best 3.86
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.67
Fair odds
1.46
book 1.67 · +14.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 69% · EV +14.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 29%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.73
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 47.9%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 83%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 12.3%
Odds 4.19
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 29%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.3%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
CHE – BRI @ 1.67
+14.8%
Edge
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