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Home › England › Premier League › Coventry — Hull City

Coventry vs Hull City 0:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Coventry
Coventry
Home · last 5 L L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Hull City
Hull City
W W D D L Away · last 5
Referee J. Smith
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 2.00 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 2.08 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.91 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
1.28 – 0.72
Δ +0.56
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +14.5% better than the market.

Hull City arrives with momentum after a recent win, contrasting Coventry's current struggles. The away side's form edge and slightly more cautious odds suggest a tight contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities. Expect a compact defensive setup from Coventry trying to contain Hull's pressing threat.

  • Hull's recent win boosts confidence on the road
  • Coventry likely to rely on defensive solidity at home
  • Market hints at a low-scoring, tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u
+100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

COV 4-2-3-1 · HUL 5-4-1
COV · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · HUL 19 Rushworth 27 van Ewijk 4 Thomas 24 Amenda 3 Dasilva 8 Yirenkyi 6 Grimes 18 Tchaouna 5 Rudoni 10 Mason-Clark 14 Awoniyi 19 Tzolakis 2 Coyle 6 Ajayi 15 Egan 32 Mendy 3 Giles 10 Belloumi 27 Slater 5 Morita 21 Stroud 9 McBurnie
Subs used · COV
58' Thomas-Asante ↑ · Mason-Clark ↓
59' Sakamoto ↑ · Tchaouna ↓
71' Torp ↑ · Yirenkyi ↓
71' Hamer ↑ · Rudoni ↓
78' Pinnock ↑ · Thomas ↓
Subs used · HUL
45' Gourna-Douath ↑ · Morita ↓
45' Drameh ↑ · Coyle ↓
59' Millar ↑ · Stroud ↓
59' Herrington ↑ · Mendy ↓
83' Cho ↑ · Belloumi ↓

Statistics

COV 0 – 1 HUL
69%
Possession (%)
31%
1.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
11
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
2
3
Shots off Target
3
7
Shots Inside Box
2
6
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
8
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
67%
1
Yellow Cards
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

16 · 0 – 1
10'
▮
Lewie Coyle
Yellow Card
45'
⇄
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↓ · Hidemasa Morita ↑
Substitution 1
45'
⇄
Cody Drameh ↓ · Lewie Coyle ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
51'
▮
Regan Slater
Yellow Card
54'
▮
Elliot Stroud
Yellow Card
Brandon Thomas-Asante ↓ · Ephron Mason-Clark ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto ↓ · Loum Tchaouna ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
59'
⇄
Liam Millar ↓ · Elliot Stroud ↑
Substitution 3
59'
⇄
Lucas Herrington ↓ · Nobel Mendy ↑
Substitution 4
68'
▮
Oliver McBurnie
Yellow Card
Victor Torp ↓ · Caleb Yirenkyi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
Gustavo Hamer ↓ · Jack Rudoni ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
Ethan Pinnock ↓ · Bobby Thomas ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
78'
82'
⚽
Liam Millar
Assist · Mohamed Belloumi · 0–1
83'
⇄
Mohamed Ali Cho ↓ · Mohamed Belloumi ↑
Substitution 5
Aurele Amenda
Yellow Card
▮
84'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Hull City won 1–0 away at Coventry. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.28 to 0.72. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 11 shots to 5, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Liam Millar (82').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +3.50 units (Brier 0.275).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.00 1.91 57% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS No 2.08 1.95 55% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.91 1.95 53% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 1.85 1.80 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 1.91 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.69 1.80 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.78 3.70 32% Cashed +2.78 Cashed
Away Win 4.17 4.67 27% Cashed +3.17 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.39 1.32 77% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 1.19 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.17 3.42 27% Cashed +2.17 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.90 3.19 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.58 3.55 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.25 1.27 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.39 1.31 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +3.50u +23% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
COV – HUL @ 2.00
+14.5%
Edge
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