🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 61% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 61%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Portugal and Spain face off in a high-stakes World Cup clash with both sides showing strong recent form. Portugal's attacking firepower is evident from their high scoring rate and expected goals, but Spain's defensive solidity and clean sheet record give them a pressing edge. The match hints at an open, attacking tempo with over 2.5 goals likely given both teams' tendency to score and create chances.
- Portugal's potent offense against Spain's tight defense
- Spain's superior defensive discipline and clean sheets
- Both teams' recent winning momentum and attacking intent
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Spain win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 61% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 61% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 70% | X2 |
- 1X2 Spain win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61%
- BTTS Yes 61%
- Double Chance X2 70%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Portugal
W/D/L
3-2-0
Goals (for / against)
10 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.6
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
xG (for / against)
1.49 / 1.01
Spain
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
11 / 1
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
4/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.21 / 0.24
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🌍 Qualification form
Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
W
L
D
W
W
Matches6
Goals for / against20 / 7
Goals for / match3.33
Goals against / match1.17
Clean sheets33.3%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals83.3%
Over 2.5 goals66.7%
xG for / match3.79
xG against / match0.61
Avg corners6.7
Avg shots24.8
Avg shots on target8.2
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
D
W
W
W
W
Matches6
Goals for / against21 / 2
Goals for / match3.50
Goals against / match0.33
Clean sheets83.3%
Both teams to score16.7%
Over 1.5 goals100.0%
Over 2.5 goals83.3%
xG for / match3.14
xG against / match0.32
Avg corners7.2
Avg shots22.5
Avg shots on target9.5
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Portugal wins when scoring first
50%
①
Spain wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Portugal BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Spain BTTS rate · last 10
20%
↑
Portugal Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Spain Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Portugal comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Spain comeback rate · last 10
—
🔥 Goal timing
Portugal · last 3 at home
0–15
29%
16–30
14%
31–45
14%
46–60
0%
61–75
14%
76–90
29%
Spain · last 1 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
100%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
