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Home World World Cup USA — Belgium

Preview USA vs Belgium July 7, 2026

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
USA
USA
Home · last 5 W W L W
Kick-off
Tue 07 Jul · 00:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Belgium
Belgium
D D W W Away · last 5
Home Win · USA
36%
Best 2.82
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · BEL
37%
Best 2.67

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 66% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 65%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

USA faces Belgium in a neutral World Cup clash where Belgium's strong qualifying form and attacking prowess stand out. Belgium's high scoring rate and solid defense give them a clear edge, while USA's lack of recent data adds uncertainty. Expect a lively game with a good chance of goals given Belgium's offensive momentum and the match's neutral setting.

  • Belgium's sharp attack vs USA's unknown defense
  • Neutral venue reduces home advantage
  • High probability of over 2.5 goals

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 36% Belgium win
Over/Under 2.5 66% Over 2.5
BTTS 65% Yes
Double Chance 64% X2
  • 1X2 Belgium win 36%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66%
  • BTTS Yes 65%
  • Double Chance X2 64%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
USA
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 11 / 6
Avg goals / match 3.4
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-1
xG (for / against) 1.16 / 0.40
Belgium
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.13 / 1.37

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.50
Goals Scored
2.25
1
Goals Conceded
1
0.87
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
4.25
Shots on Target
6.25
5.75
Corners
4.50
57
Possession (%)
57.75
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🌍 Qualification form

Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
USA No qualification data

Qualification statistics are not available for this team. This may happen for host nations or teams without imported qualification data.

Belgium High data confidence
W D W D W
Matches8
Goals for / against29 / 7
Goals for / match3.63
Goals against / match0.88
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals62.5%
xG for / match2.95
xG against / match0.97
Avg corners10.4
Avg shots22.3
Avg shots on target8.0
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
44
OFF · home
67
85
DEF · home
19
85
OFF · away
96
6
DEF · away
96
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

USA wins when scoring first
75%
Belgium wins when scoring first
100%
USA BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Belgium BTTS rate · last 10
70%
USA Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Belgium Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
USA comeback rate · last 10
0%
Belgium comeback rate · last 10
33%

🔥 Goal timing

USA · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 0%
31–45 67%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 34%

Belgium · last 1 away

0–15 0%
16–30 20%
31–45 0%
46–60 20%
61–75 20%
76–90 40%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.

Top scorers

F. Balogun
USA · Attacker
3 G · 1.20 g/90
G. Reyna
USA · Midfielder
1 G