France vs Belgium 4:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.68 — +13.9% better than the market.

France and Belgium face off in a tight UEFA Nations League clash where recent form slightly favors Belgium, who have shown sharper momentum with more points per game. France’s home advantage could balance the scales, offering a pressing edge and a compact defensive block to contain Belgium’s attacking threats. Expect a tactical battle with moderate tempo, leaning towards a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances.

Belgium’s recent form suggests sharper finishing.
France’s home setup aims to disrupt Belgium’s rhythm.
Odds hint at a low to moderate scoring match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.68 ✗ Lost

AI 68% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FRA 4-3-3 · BEL 4-3-3

FRA · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · BEL

12 Barcola

Statistics

FRA 4 – 1 BEL

66%

Possession (%)

34%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

France beat Belgium 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 5, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 6 landed and 7 missed, for a net -3.77 units (Brier 0.194).

Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 6 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.55	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.63	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.68	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.48	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.30	—	32%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.61	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	75%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Home Win	1.58	—	54%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.56	—	52%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.48	—	54%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Draw	4.75	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	74%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	6 W · 7 L	−3.77u	−29% ROI

France vs Belgium 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled