Match Australia vs Egypt July 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Australia vs Egypt: Tight World Cup Clash

Both teams arrive in strong form, with Australia showing home momentum through a solid qualification run marked by a sturdy defense and efficient attack. Egypt counters with a disciplined backline and a slightly lower goal concession rate, suggesting a tactical battle. Expect a compact game where Australia's pressing edge meets Egypt's organized defense, likely resulting in limited clear-cut chances and a cautious pace.

Australia's home-like confidence despite neutral venue
Egypt's high clean sheet rate and defensive discipline
Balanced attacking threat but low BTTS likelihood

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

AUS 3-4-2-1 · EGY 4-2-3-1

AUS · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · EGY

17 Irankunda

Subs used · AUS

46'

Trewin ↑ ·

Bos ↓

74'

Hrustic ↑ ·

Volpato ↓

74'

Toure ↑ ·

Irankunda ↓

91'

Okon-Engstler ↑ ·

O'Neill ↓

91'

Mabil ↑ ·

Metcalfe ↓

119'

Ryan ↑ ·

Beach ↓

Subs used · EGY

67'

Hassan ↑ ·

Ziko ↓

67'

Abdelmaguid ↑ ·

Fathy ↓

80'

Trezeguet ↑ ·

Hafez ↓

106'

Abdelkarim ↑ ·

Marmoush ↓

120+1'

Saber ↑ ·

Attia ↓

📊 Statistics

AUS 1 – 1 EGY

42%

Possession (%)

58%

0.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

23 · 1 – 1

13'

⚽

E. Ashour

Assist · K. Hafez · 0–1

Half-time · 0 – 1

K. Trewin ↓ · J. Bos ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

M. Hany

Own goal · 1–1

⚽

55'

67'

⇄

H. Hassan ↓ · M. Ziko ↑

Substitution 1

67'

⇄

H. Abdelmaguid ↓ · H. Fathy ↑

Substitution 2

A. Hrustic ↓ · C. Volpato ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

74'

M. Toure ↓ · N. Irankunda ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

80'

⇄

Trezeguet ↓ · K. Hafez ↑

Substitution 3

P. Okon-Engstler ↓ · A. O'Neill ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

91'

A. Mabil ↓ · C. Metcalfe ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

91'

105'

▮

H. Hassan

Yellow Card

106'

⇄

H. Abdelkarim ↓ · O. Marmoush ↑

Substitution 4

M. Ryan ↓ · P. Beach ↑

Substitution 6

⇄

119'

120'

▮

Y. Ibrahim

Yellow Card

120+1'

⇄

M. Saber ↓ · M. Attia ↑

Substitution 5

H. Souttar (P)

Penalty · 2–1

⚽

120+1'

⚽

M. Saber (P)

Penalty · 2–2

J. Irvine (P)

Penalty · 3–2

⚽

120+2'

⚽

R. Rabia (P)

Penalty · 3–3

A. Mabil (P)

Penalty · 4–3

⚽

120+3'

⚽

M. Salah (P)

Penalty · 4–4

L. Herrington (P)

Penalty · 5–4

⚽

120+4'

⚽

H. Abdelmaguid (P)

Penalty · 5–5

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Australia and Egypt drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4.

On the scoresheet: E. Ashour (13'), M. Hany (55'), M. Saber (120+1'), J. Irvine (120+2'), R. Rabia (120+2'), A. Mabil (120+3'), M. Salah (120+3'), H. Abdelmaguid (120+4').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.88 units (Brier 0.150).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.75	2.75	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.63	1.67	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.48	2.39	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.19	2.12	41%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.40	2.48	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.25	2.40	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.66	1.57	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.53	1.55	64%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Home Win	3.28	3.60	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.57	1.57	63%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.44	1.45	63%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.33	1.29	66%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	2.88	2.84	30%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
Over 3.5	5.50	5.00	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	1.11	87%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.11	1.15	82%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Under 0.5	6.00	5.99	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.88u	−23% ROI