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Home › World › World Cup › Australia — Egypt

Predictions by Market: Australia vs Egypt

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Australia
Australia
Home · last 5 W L D D
Kick-off
Fri 03 Jul · 18:00
1:1
Full-time
Egypt
Egypt
D W D D L Away · last 5
Referee Gustavo Tejera, Uruguay

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AUS
34%
Best 3.74
Draw
30%
Best 2.96
Away Win · EGY
36%
Best 2.44
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.28
Fair odds
2.98
book 3.28 · +9.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 34% · EV +9.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (36%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 17.9%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 59.1%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 40.9%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 33.5%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 36.3%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 63.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
AUS – EGY @ 3.28
+9.7%
Edge
Forecast →