🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward France to win — 68% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
France enter this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a potent attack that averages nearly three goals per game in qualifiers. Their compact block and high pressing could exploit Sweden's defensive vulnerabilities, who have conceded heavily and lack clean sheets recently. Sweden's resilience and occasional counter-attacks may test France's defense, but the French side's superior form and attacking edge suggest they will control the tempo.
- France's clinical finishing and pressing edge
- Sweden's defensive frailties and counter threat
- High chance of goals given both sides' scoring trends
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 68% | France win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 62% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 56% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 86% | 1X |
- 1X2 France win 68%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62%
- BTTS Yes 56%
- Double Chance 1X 86%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
France
W/D/L
5-0-0
Goals (for / against)
16 / 4
Avg goals / match
4.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
1.54 / 1.10
Sweden
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
13 / 10
Avg goals / match
4.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
5/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.17 / 1.38
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🌍 Qualification form
Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
W
W
D
W
W
Matches6
Goals for / against16 / 4
Goals for / match2.67
Goals against / match0.67
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score50.0%
Over 1.5 goals100.0%
Over 2.5 goals83.3%
xG for / match2.71
xG against / match1.01
Avg corners6.8
Avg shots21.7
Avg shots on target7.7
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
W
W
D
L
L
Matches8
Goals for / against10 / 15
Goals for / match1.25
Goals against / match1.88
Clean sheets0.0%
Both teams to score62.5%
Over 1.5 goals87.5%
Over 2.5 goals50.0%
xG for / match1.14
xG against / match1.09
Avg corners4.8
Avg shots9.4
Avg shots on target3.1
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
France wins when scoring first
100%
①
Sweden wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
France BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Sweden BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
France Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Sweden Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
France comeback rate · last 10
—
↩
Sweden comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
France · last 2 at home
0–15
17%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
17%
61–75
33%
76–90
33%
Sweden · last 2 away
0–15
0%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
50%
61–75
50%
76–90
0%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
