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Home › World › World Cup › France — Sweden

Predictions by Market: France vs Sweden

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 30 Jun · 21:00
3:0
Full-time
Sweden
Sweden
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRA
68%
Best 1.31
Draw
19%
Best 6.52
Away Win · SWE
14%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.63
Fair odds
5.39
book 5.63 · +4.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 19% · EV +4.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (68%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.9%
Odds 10.45
Show model details
Implied probability 9.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 18.6%
Odds 5.63
Show model details
Implied probability 17.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.8%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 67.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.9%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 32.5%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
FRA – SWE @ 5.63
+4.4%
Edge
Forecast →