🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Germany to win — 66% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams not to score 60%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Germany enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a potent attack that averages over 2.5 goals per game in qualifiers. Their compact defense and high pressing limit opponents' chances, while Paraguay's more conservative style and lower scoring rate suggest a tactical battle favoring the hosts. Expect Germany's sharper offensive edge and better form to control the tempo and create more opportunities.
- Germany's clinical finishing and pressing edge
- Paraguay's disciplined but less threatening attack
- Likely moderate pace with controlled possession
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 66% | Germany win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 60% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 60% | No |
| Double Chance | 86% | 1X |
- 1X2 Germany win 66%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
- BTTS No 60%
- Double Chance 1X 86%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 8.58 ↑ 9.75 (+14%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Germany
W/D/L
4-0-1
Goals (for / against)
18 / 5
Avg goals / match
4.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
2.87 / 0.82
Paraguay
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
5 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.42 / 1.69
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🌍 Qualification form
Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
W
W
W
W
W
Matches6
Goals for / against16 / 3
Goals for / match2.67
Goals against / match0.50
Clean sheets66.7%
Both teams to score16.7%
Over 1.5 goals83.3%
Over 2.5 goals50.0%
xG for / match2.18
xG against / match0.78
Avg corners5.8
Avg shots17.0
Avg shots on target6.2
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
W
D
L
W
D
Matches18
Goals for / against14 / 10
Goals for / match0.78
Goals against / match0.56
Clean sheets55.6%
Both teams to score22.2%
Over 1.5 goals27.8%
Over 2.5 goals22.2%
Avg corners4.4
Avg shots11.0
Avg shots on target3.7
Sources: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Germany wins when scoring first
50%
①
Paraguay wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Germany BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Paraguay BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Germany Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Paraguay Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Germany comeback rate · last 10
100%
↩
Paraguay comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Germany · last 2 at home
0–15
11%
16–30
0%
31–45
22%
46–60
11%
61–75
22%
76–90
33%
Paraguay · last 2 away
0–15
50%
16–30
0%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
50%
76–90
0%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
