🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 58% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 57%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Brazil faces a tough challenge against Japan in this World Cup clash. Brazil's home momentum is tempered by a mixed recent form and a modest scoring rate, while Japan impresses with a solid defense and prolific attack in qualifiers. The match hints at a balanced tactical battle with Japan's compact block and efficient counterattack testing Brazil's creativity.
- Brazil's moderate home edge meets Japan's disciplined defense.
- Japan's high scoring rate contrasts with Brazil's tighter defense.
- Expect a lively tempo with chances for both sides.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 53% | Brazil win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 58% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 57% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 78% | 1X |
- 1X2 Brazil win 53%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58%
- BTTS Yes 57%
- Double Chance 1X 78%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Brazil
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
9 / 3
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
2.38 / 0.80
Japan
W/D/L
1-3-1
Goals (for / against)
7 / 5
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
xG (for / against)
1.31 / 0.42
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
🌍 Qualification form
Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
L
W
W
D
L
Matches18
Goals for / against24 / 17
Goals for / match1.33
Goals against / match0.94
Clean sheets33.3%
Both teams to score44.4%
Over 1.5 goals61.1%
Over 2.5 goals38.9%
Avg corners5.1
Avg shots11.9
Avg shots on target4.2
Sources: CONMEBOL World Cup Qualification
W
L
D
W
W
Matches15
Goals for / against51 / 3
Goals for / match3.40
Goals against / match0.20
Clean sheets80.0%
Both teams to score13.3%
Over 1.5 goals80.0%
Over 2.5 goals60.0%
Avg corners7.1
Avg shots15.7
Avg shots on target6.8
Sources: AFC World Cup Qualification
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Brazil wins when scoring first
100%
①
Japan wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Brazil BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Japan BTTS rate · last 10
30%
↑
Brazil Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Japan Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↩
Brazil comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Japan comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Brazil · last 2 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
25%
31–45
75%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
0%
Japan · last 2 away
0–15
17%
16–30
0%
31–45
17%
46–60
17%
61–75
17%
76–90
33%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
