Match Panama vs England June 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.73 — +12.2% better than the market.

England enters this World Cup clash with a clear momentum edge, boasting a flawless recent run and a perfect defensive record in qualifiers. Their compact backline and clinical attack contrast with Panama's solid but less prolific form. Expect England's pressing and set-piece threat to challenge Panama's typically disciplined defense.

England's defensive resilience vs Panama's attacking attempts
Panama's home-like momentum in neutral venue
Potential for a controlled tempo with under 3.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAN 5-4-1 · ENG 4-2-3-1

PAN · 5-4-1 4-2-3-1 · ENG

9 Rodríguez

Subs used · PAN

46'

Fajardo ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

71'

Diaz ↑ ·

Barcenas ↓

71'

Londono ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

88'

Quintero ↑ ·

Harvey ↓

88'

Davis ↑ ·

Gutierrez ↓

Subs used · ENG

63'

Spence ↑ ·

Quansah ↓

63'

Madueke ↑ ·

Saka ↓

71'

Eze ↑ ·

Bellingham ↓

84'

Henderson ↑ ·

Anderson ↓

84'

Watkins ↑ ·

Kane ↓

📊 Statistics

PAN 0 – 2 ENG

33%

Possession (%)

67%

0.57

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.49

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 2

Half-time · 0 – 0

J. Fajardo ↓ · T. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

J. Fajardo

Yellow Card

▮

53'

60'

▮

J. Quansah

Yellow Card

62'

⚽

J. Bellingham

Assist · B. Saka · 0–1

63'

⇄

D. Spence ↓ · J. Quansah ↑

Substitution 1

63'

⇄

N. Madueke ↓ · B. Saka ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⚽

H. Kane

Assist · J. Bellingham · 0–2

I. Diaz ↓ · Y. Barcenas ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

A. Londono ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

⇄

E. Eze ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑

Substitution 3

A. Andrade

Yellow Card

▮

84'

⇄

J. Henderson ↓ · E. Anderson ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

O. Watkins ↓ · H. Kane ↑

Substitution 5

A. Quintero ↓ · C. Harvey ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

88'

E. Davis ↓ · J. Gutierrez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

England won 2–0 away at Panama. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.49 to 0.57. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Bellingham (62'), H. Kane (67').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -4.53 units (Brier 0.106).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.73	1.80	65%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS No	1.66	1.62	66%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.75	3.00	44%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.10	1.98	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.13	2.20	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	13.60	16.13	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	13.00	16.39	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	6.06	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	4.88	5.49	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.75	8.77	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.03	1.02	85%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Away Win	1.18	1.15	71%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.42	1.36	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.03	1.01	71%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.09	1.08	73%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−4.53u	−30% ROI