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Home World World Cup Japan — Sweden

Match Japan vs Sweden June 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup
Japan
Japan
Home · last 5 D W D L
Kick-off
Thu 25 Jun · 23:00
1:1
Full-time
Sweden
Sweden
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee I. Barton
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.83
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.14
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.00
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Japan shows strong home momentum with a solid defensive record and high scoring rate in qualifiers, boasting numerous clean sheets and a compact defensive block. Their pressing edge and set-piece threat could challenge Sweden, who have struggled defensively but maintain a decent attacking presence. Sweden's recent form hints at resilience but defensive lapses may be costly.

  • Japan's disciplined defense and attacking efficiency
  • Sweden's vulnerability at the back despite attacking efforts
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical control over wild open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

JPN 3-4-3 · SWE 3-4-1-2
Subs used · JPN
39' Taniguchi ↑ · Itakura
66' Ogawa ↑ · Ueda
67' Ito ↑ · Doan
75' Nagatomo ↑ · Nakamura
75' Watanabe ↑ · Seko
Subs used · SWE
37' Bergvall ↑ · Hien
75' Svensson ↑ · Bernhardsson
75' Sema ↑ · Stroud
87' Starfelt ↑ · Lindelöf
88' Nygren ↑ · Gudmundsson

📊 Statistics

JPN 11 SWE
52%
Possession (%)
48%
8
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
3
2
Corner Kicks
8
3
Offsides
2
20
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
32'
Isak Hien
Yellow Card
37'
Lucas Bergvall ↓ · Isak Hien ↑
Substitution 1
Shogo Taniguchi ↓ · Ko Itakura ↑
Substitution 1
39'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Daizen Maeda
Assist · Ritsu Doan · 1–0
56'
62'
Anthony Elanga
Assist · Viktor Gyökeres · 1–1
Koki Ogawa ↓ · Ayase Ueda ↑
Substitution 2
66'
Junya Ito ↓ · Ritsu Doan ↑
Substitution 3
67'
75'
Daniel Svensson ↓ · Alexander Bernhardsson ↑
Substitution 2
75'
Ken Sema ↓ · Elliot Stroud ↑
Substitution 3
Yuto Nagatomo ↓ · Keito Nakamura ↑
Substitution 4
75'
Tsuyoshi Watanabe ↓ · Ayumu Seko ↑
Substitution 5
75'
Shogo Taniguchi
Yellow Card
77'
85'
Viktor Gyökeres
Yellow Card
87'
Carl Starfelt ↓ · Victor Lindelöf ↑
Substitution 4
88'
Benjamin Nygren ↓ · Gabriel Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Japan and Sweden drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Daizen Maeda (56'), Anthony Elanga (62').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -2.23 units (Brier 0.177).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.83 1.78 55% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 2.02 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 1.90 49% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.82 1.91 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.72 54% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 1.93 2.00 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.10 4.00 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.25 72% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.88 3.19 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.95 2.86 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.41 1.42 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.32 70% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 3.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 1.28 75% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Draw 3.44 3.30 26% Cashed +2.44 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −2.23u −15% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample