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Home › World › World Cup › Japan — Sweden

Predictions by Market: Japan vs Sweden

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Japan
Japan
Home · last 5 D W D L
Kick-off
Thu 25 Jun · 23:00
1:1
Full-time
Sweden
Sweden
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee I. Barton

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · JPN
45%
Best 2.05
Draw
26%
Best 3.46
Away Win · SWE
28%
Best 4.19
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.83
Fair odds
1.83
book 1.83 · +0.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 55% · EV +0.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (72%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.3%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 74.9%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 60.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.3%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 45.3%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 71.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 54.7%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
JPN – SWE @ 1.83
+0.1%
Edge
Forecast →