Match Norway vs Senegal June 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.02 — +10.4% better than the market.

Norway arrives with formidable home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a potent attack averaging over four goals per qualifier match. Their pressing edge and high shot volume contrast with Senegal's disciplined defense, which has kept clean sheets in 80% of their qualifiers. Expect a tactical battle where Norway's offensive firepower meets Senegal's compact block and counter-attack threat.

Norway's high scoring and pressing style
Senegal's defensive solidity and counter potential
Both sides in peak form, promising intensity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.02 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NOR 4-3-3 · SEN 4-2-3-1

NOR · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · SEN

20 Nusa

Subs used · NOR

13'

Pedersen ↑ ·

Ryerson ↓

46'

Berg ↑ ·

Aursnes ↓

71'

Schjelderup ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

84'

Ostigard ↑ ·

Heggem ↓

84'

Bobb ↑ ·

Sorloth ↓

Subs used · SEN

54'

Jakobs ↑ ·

Diouf ↓

54'

Mbaye ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

63'

Diaw ↑ ·

Mendy ↓

63'

Ciss ↑ ·

Camara ↓

72'

M. Sarr ↑ ·

Koulibaly ↓

📊 Statistics

NOR 3 – 2 SEN

42%

Possession (%)

58%

2.10

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 2

M. Pedersen ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

13'

M. Pedersen

1–0

⚽

43'

Half-time · 1 – 0

P. Berg ↓ · F. Aursnes ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

E. Haaland

Assist · M. Odegaard · 2–0

⚽

48'

53'

⚽

I. Sarr

Assist · S. Mane · 2–1

54'

⇄

I. Jakobs ↓ · M. Diouf ↑

Substitution 1

54'

⇄

I. Mbaye ↓ · P. Gueye ↑

Substitution 2

E. Haaland

Assist · P. Berg · 3–1

⚽

58'

63'

⇄

M. Diaw ↓ · E. Mendy ↑

Substitution 3

63'

⇄

P. Ciss ↓ · L. Camara ↑

Substitution 4

A. Schjelderup ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

72'

⇄

P. M. Sarr ↓ · K. Koulibaly ↑

Substitution 5

L. Ostigard ↓ · T. Heggem ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

O. Bobb ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

90+3'

⚽

I. Sarr

Assist · N. Jackson · 3–2

Full-time · 3 – 2

Match recap

Norway beat Senegal 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes.

On the scoresheet: M. Pedersen (43'), E. Haaland (48'), I. Sarr (53'), E. Haaland (58'), I. Sarr (90+3').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.28 units (Brier 0.235).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.02	2.07	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.90	1.91	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.30	2.27	40%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	1.91	46%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	1.70	45%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.20	2.31	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.69	1.63	40%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.59	1.66	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.10	3.17	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.35	67%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	3.70	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	1.32	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	10.00	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	91%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.45	3.44	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	1.28	71%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.40	3.30	25%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.28u	−13% ROI