Match New Zealand vs Egypt June 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

New Zealand arrives with perfect recent form and a potent attack, averaging nearly six goals per qualifier match. Their home momentum and strong defensive record suggest a compact, disciplined setup. Egypt also shows solid form and defensive resilience, but their lower scoring rate hints at a more cautious approach. Expect a tactical battle with limited goals, as both sides prioritize defensive solidity.

New Zealand's attacking edge vs Egypt's sturdy defense
Both teams' strong clean sheet records
Moderate pace expected, favoring a controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

NZL 4-2-3-1 · EGY 4-2-3-1

NZL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · EGY

9 Wood

Subs used · NZL

66'

Old ↑ ·

McCowatt ↓

76'

Thomas ↑ ·

Singh ↓

76'

Randall ↑ ·

Cacace ↓

85'

Bindon ↑ ·

Payne ↓

85'

De Vries ↑ ·

Just ↓

Subs used · EGY

41'

Rabia ↑ ·

Fathy ↓

76'

Trezeguet ↑ ·

Marmoush ↓

76'

Abdelkarim ↑ ·

Ziko ↓

85'

Zizo ↑ ·

Ashour ↓

85'

Abdelmaguid ↑ ·

Salah ↓

90+9'

Abdelmonem ↑ ·

Abdelmaguid ↓

📊 Statistics

NZL 1 – 3 EGY

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.12

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.96

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 3

F. Surman

Assist · T. Payne · 1–0

⚽

15'

17'

▮

M. Lasheen

Yellow Card

S. Singh

Yellow Card

▮

20'

C. McCowatt

Yellow Card

▮

34'

41'

⇄

R. Rabia ↓ · H. Fathy ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 1 – 0

58'

⚽

M. Ziko

Assist · M. Hany · 1–1

B. Old ↓ · C. McCowatt ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

67'

⚽

M. Salah

Assist · M. Ziko · 1–2

R. Thomas ↓ · S. Singh ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

76'

J. Randall ↓ · L. Cacace ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

⇄

Trezeguet ↓ · O. Marmoush ↑

Substitution 2

76'

⇄

H. Abdelkarim ↓ · M. Ziko ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⚽

Trezeguet

Assist · M. Salah · 1–3

85'

⇄

Zizo ↓ · E. Ashour ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

H. Abdelmaguid ↓ · M. Salah ↑

Substitution 5

T. Bindon ↓ · T. Payne ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

F. De Vries ↓ · E. Just ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

90+9'

⇄

M. Abdelmonem ↓ · H. Abdelmaguid ↑

Substitution 6

Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Egypt won 3–1 away at New Zealand. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.96 to 1.12. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Surman (15'), M. Ziko (58'), M. Salah (67'), Trezeguet (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.28 units (Brier 0.227).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.84	1.84	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.30	2.34	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.64	1.72	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.16	2.02	41%	Cashed	+1.16	Cashed
Away Win	1.60	1.57	54%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.20	2.00	38%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	3.40	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.50	5.99	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.14	1.13	78%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.30	10.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.30	1.30	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.95	4.15	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.05	88%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.05	4.29	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.35	1.31	64%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.00	3.50	19%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.22	1.20	54%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.28u	−13% ROI