P
Prognosist
P
Home World World Cup Türkiye — Paraguay

Match Türkiye vs Paraguay June 20, 2026 — Result and Stats

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Türkiye
Türkiye
Home · last 5 L L W
Kick-off
Sat 20 Jun · 03:00
0:1
Full-time
Paraguay
Paraguay
L W D D L Away · last 5
Referee Iván Barton, El Salvador
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.67
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 61% · book 1.84
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.78
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
2.10 – 0.32
Δ +1.78
Possession
79% – 21%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.67 — +11.4% better than the market.

Türkiye enters this World Cup clash with strong home momentum, boasting a high-scoring qualification run and a dynamic attack that averages over two goals per game. Their offensive edge is likely to challenge Paraguay's compact defense, which has been effective at keeping clean sheets but less prolific going forward.

  • Türkiye's pressing and set-piece threat could exploit Paraguay's lower goal output.
  • Paraguay's disciplined defense may limit chances but risks conceding under sustained pressure.
  • Neutral venue levels the playing field, but Türkiye's recent form suggests a slight edge.

В этом матче Турция демонстрирует сильную домашнюю форму и атакующий потенциал, забивая более двух голов за игру в квалификации. Их динамичная атака может создать проблемы для компактной обороны Парагвая, которая надежна, но менее результативна.

  • Прессинг и стандарты Турции могут вскрыть защиту соперника.
  • Парагвай постарается сыграть надежно, но под давлением может пропустить.
  • Нейтральное поле нивелирует фактор дома, но форма Турции дает им небольшое преимущество.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Lineups

TUR 4-2-3-1 · PAR 4-4-2
Subs used · TUR
46' Yilmaz ↑ · Akturkoglu
60' Uzun ↑ · Yuksek
60' Gul ↑ · Akgun
70' Elmali ↑ · Kadioglu
86' Kokcu ↑ · Bardakci
Subs used · PAR
46' Bobadilla ↑ · Pitta
67' Velazquez ↑ · Gomez
81' Maidana ↑ · Caceres
90+2' Avalos ↑ · Enciso
90+2' Canale ↑ · Galarza

📊 Statistics

TUR 01 PAR
79%
Possession (%)
21%
2.10
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.32
32
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
2
15
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
3
12
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
15
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
53%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

15 · 0 – 1
2'
M. Galarza
Assist · J. Enciso · 0–1
4'
M. Galarza
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
46'
D. Bobadilla ↓ · I. Pitta ↑
Substitution 1
B. Yilmaz ↓ · K. Akturkoglu ↑
Substitution 1
46'
45+3'
M. Almiron
Red Card
C. Uzun ↓ · I. Yuksek ↑
Substitution 2
60'
D. Gul ↓ · Y. Akgun ↑
Substitution 3
60'
V. Montella
Yellow Card
63'
67'
G. Velazquez ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 2
E. Elmali ↓ · F. Kadioglu ↑
Substitution 4
70'
E. Elmali
Yellow Card
71'
81'
A. Maidana ↓ · J. Caceres ↑
Substitution 3
O. Kokcu ↓ · A. Bardakci ↑
Substitution 5
86'
90+2'
G. Avalos ↓ · J. Enciso ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
J. Canale ↓ · M. Galarza ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Paraguay won 1–0 away at Türkiye. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 79% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.10 to 0.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 32 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: M. Galarza (2'). M. Almiron was sent off in the 45+3' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.53 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.67 1.75 67% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 1.84 1.91 61% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.78 1.74 55% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Home Win 2.00 2.05 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.90 1.86 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.19 2.10 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.10 3.19 40% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 9.01 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.00 3.80 28% Cashed +3.00 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.23 1.27 86% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.26 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.86 2.72 28% Cashed +1.86 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.43 1.46 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.33 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.06 78% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.35 1.33 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 3.75 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.53u +3% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
TUR – PAR @ 1.67
+11.4%
Edge
Forecast →