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Home › World › World Cup › Türkiye — Paraguay

Predictions by Market: Türkiye vs Paraguay

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Türkiye
Türkiye
Home · last 5 L L W
Kick-off
Sat 20 Jun · 03:00
0:1
Full-time
Paraguay
Paraguay
L W D D L Away · last 5
Referee Iván Barton, El Salvador

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TUR
45%
Best 2.06
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · PAR
28%
Best 4.10
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.54
book 4.00 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.2%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.33
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 33.3%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 40.3%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 86.5%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 13.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality High
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 39.3%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.2%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 70.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
TUR – PAR @ 4.00
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →