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Home › World › World Cup › Uzbekistan — Colombia

Uzbekistan vs Colombia 1:3: Match Review & Stats

World   /   World Cup
Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
Home · last 5 L L L
Kick-off
Thu 18 Jun · 02:00
1:3
Full-time
Colombia
Colombia
W W D W D Away · last 5
Estadio Banorte · Mexico City Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.88 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 58% · book 1.61 ✗
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.14 – 1.61
Δ −0.47
Possession
39% – 61%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

Uzbekistan hosts Colombia at Estadio Azteca in a World Cup clash where both sides show solid recent form. Uzbekistan's strong defensive record and home momentum contrast with Colombia's slightly higher scoring rate but leakier defense. The match may see a balanced tempo with cautious buildup and set-piece opportunities shaping the contest.

  • Uzbekistan's compact block and clean sheet consistency offer a defensive edge.
  • Colombia's pressing and attacking intent could test the home backline.
  • Both teams' moderate goal averages suggest a tight, tactical battle rather than a goal-fest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

UZB 3-4-2-1 · COL 4-2-3-1
UZB · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · COL 1 Yusupov 5 Ashurmatov 2 Khusanov 18 Abdullaev 24 Karimov 6 Mozgovoy 7 Shukurov 13 Nasrullaev 22 Fayzullaev ⚽ 11 Urunov 14 Shomurodov 12 Vargas 2 Muñoz ⚽ 23 Sánchez 3 Lucumí 17 Mojica 16 Lerma 14 Puerta 11 Arias 10 Rodríguez 7 Díaz ⚽ 25 Suárez
Subs used · UZB
46' Khamdamov ↑ · Urunov ↓
46' Sayfiev ↑ · Nasrullaev ↓
77' Amonov ↑ · Fayzullaev ↓
77' Urozov ↑ · Ashurmatov ↓
90+3' Sergeev ↑ · Shomurodov ↓
Subs used · COL
72' Campaz ↑ · Rodriguez ↓
80' Hernandez ↑ · Suarez ↓
80' Rios ↑ · Puerta ↓
90+3' Gomez ↑ · Diaz ↓
90+3' Castano ↑ · Arias ↓

Statistics

UZB 1 – 3 COL
39%
Possession (%)
61%
1.14
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.61
8
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
4
4
Shots off Target
7
4
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
11
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

16 · 1 – 3
7'
▮
J. Mojica
Yellow Card
A. Khusanov
Yellow Card
▮
34'
40'
⚽
D. Munoz
Assist · L. Diaz · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
D. Khamdamov ↓ · O. Urunov ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
F. Sayfiev ↓ · S. Nasrullaev ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
A. Fayzullaev
1–1
⚽
60'
65'
⚽
L. Diaz
Assist · G. Puerta · 1–2
72'
⇄
J. Campaz ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 1
A. Amonov ↓ · A. Fayzullaev ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
J. Urozov ↓ · R. Ashurmatov ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
80'
⇄
C. Hernandez ↓ · L. Suarez ↑
Substitution 2
80'
⇄
R. Rios ↓ · G. Puerta ↑
Substitution 3
90+3'
⇄
A. Gomez ↓ · L. Diaz ↑
Substitution 4
90+3'
⇄
K. Castano ↓ · J. Arias ↑
Substitution 5
I. Sergeev ↓ · E. Shomurodov ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+3'
90+9'
⚽
J. Campaz
Assist · C. Hernandez · 1–3
Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Colombia won 3–1 away at Uzbekistan. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 4 on target.

On the scoresheet: D. Munoz (40'), A. Fayzullaev (60'), L. Diaz (65'), J. Campaz (90+9').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.75 units (Brier 0.175).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.88 1.91 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.91 1.91 50% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.61 1.62 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.22 2.20 42% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.07 3.04 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 8.75 9.26 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.63 6.58 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.55 4.50 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.31 1.30 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.31 3.40 28% Cashed +2.31 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 1.28 74% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.59 3.70 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.04 91% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.80 10.75 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.06 1.06 81% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Away Win 1.37 1.38 60% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.09 1.09 60% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.75u −22% ROI

Community forecasts

What other tipsters predicted · 1 in the sample