Match Iraq vs Norway June 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Norway enters this World Cup qualifier with clear momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a potent attack that averages over four goals per game in qualification. Iraq’s solid defensive record and home-like setting at Gillette Stadium offer some resistance, but Norway’s pressing edge and clinical finishing could prove decisive. Expect a lively pace with Norway likely to control possession and create multiple chances.

Iraq’s disciplined defense and decent clean sheet rate
Norway’s high-scoring form and offensive firepower
Neutral venue slightly reduces home advantage but favors Norway’s rhythm

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

IRQ 4-4-2 · NOR 4-3-3

IRQ · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · NOR

9 Al-Hamadi

Subs used · IRQ

59'

Iqbal ↑ ·

Ismaeel ↓

59'

Farji ↑ ·

Al Hamadi ↓

73'

Saadoon ↑ ·

Ali ↓

73'

Qasem ↑ ·

Jasim ↓

78'

Meme ↑ ·

Bayesh ↓

Subs used · NOR

73'

Schjelderup ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

73'

Thorstvedt ↑ ·

Aursnes ↓

73'

Ostigard ↑ ·

Wolfe ↓

73'

Bobb ↑ ·

Sorloth ↓

81'

Berg ↑ ·

Odegaard ↓

📊 Statistics

IRQ 1 – 4 NOR

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.77

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 4

29'

⚽

E. Haaland

Assist · D. Wolfe · 0–1

A. Hussein

Assist · A. Al Ammari · 1–1

⚽

39'

43'

⚽

E. Haaland

1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

Z. Iqbal ↓ · Z. Ismaeel ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

M. Farji ↓ · A. Al Hamadi ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

73'

⇄

A. Schjelderup ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 1

73'

⇄

K. Thorstvedt ↓ · F. Aursnes ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

L. Ostigard ↓ · D. Wolfe ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

O. Bobb ↓ · A. Sorloth ↑

Substitution 4

M. Saadoon ↓ · H. Ali ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

A. Qasem ↓ · A. Jasim ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

76'

⚽

L. Ostigard

Assist · M. Odegaard · 1–3

Meme ↓ · I. Bayesh ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

78'

81'

⇄

P. Berg ↓ · M. Odegaard ↑

Substitution 5

Z. Tahseen

Yellow Card

▮

86'

90+6'

⚽

A. Hussein

Own goal · 1–4

Full-time · 1 – 4

Match recap

Norway won 4–1 away at Iraq. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 0.77. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2.

On the scoresheet: E. Haaland (29'), A. Hussein (39'), E. Haaland (43'), L. Ostigard (76'), A. Hussein (90+6').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.38 units (Brier 0.129).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.38	2.30	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.60	1.57	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.24	2.33	42%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.38	2.50	39%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Home Win	13.50	14.08	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	10.50	11.49	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	1.62	60%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	4.45	4.50	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.51	1.50	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	7.00	6.76	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	16.00	14.93	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	1.17	81%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.85	4.65	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.03	1.03	85%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Away Win	1.20	1.21	70%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.04	1.03	70%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.38u	−32% ROI