Match Iran vs New Zealand June 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Iran and New Zealand meet at a neutral venue with contrasting qualification backgrounds. Iran shows solid defensive resilience and a balanced attack, while New Zealand boasts a potent offense with a high scoring rate but from a less competitive confederation. The home momentum slightly favors Iran’s compact block and set-piece threat, but New Zealand’s unbeaten run signals strong confidence.

Iran’s disciplined defense may limit New Zealand’s chances.
New Zealand’s attacking edge could test Iran’s backline.
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical caution early on.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

IRN 4-4-2 · NZL 4-2-3-1

IRN · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · NZL

9 Taremi

Subs used · IRN

46'

Ghaedi ↑ ·

Yousefi ↓

53'

Alipour ↑ ·

Moghanlou ↓

65'

Hajsafi ↑ ·

Ghoddos ↓

80'

Hosseinzadeh ↑ ·

Taremi ↓

Subs used · NZL

68'

Old ↑ ·

Cacace ↓

68'

Thomas ↑ ·

McCowatt ↓

78'

Elliot ↑ ·

Payne ↓

90+2'

Randall ↑ ·

Singh ↓

90+2'

Bindon ↑ ·

Stamenic ↓

📊 Statistics

IRN 2 – 2 NZL

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.50

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.24

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 2 – 2

⚽

E. Just

Assist · C. Wood · 0–1

R. Rezaeian

1–1

⚽

32'

Half-time · 1 – 1

M. Ghaedi ↓ · A. Yousefi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

A. Alipour ↓ · S. Moghanlou ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

53'

54'

⚽

E. Just

Assist · C. Wood · 1–2

M. Mohebi

Assist · R. Rezaeian · 2–2

⚽

64'

E. Hajsafi ↓ · S. Ghoddos ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

65'

68'

⇄

B. Old ↓ · L. Cacace ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

R. Thomas ↓ · C. McCowatt ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

C. Elliot ↓ · T. Payne ↑

Substitution 3

A. Hosseinzadeh ↓ · M. Taremi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

E. Hajsafi

Yellow Card

▮

89'

90+2'

⇄

J. Randall ↓ · S. Singh ↑

Substitution 4

90+2'

⇄

T. Bindon ↓ · M. Stamenic ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Iran and New Zealand drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: E. Just (7'), R. Rezaeian (32'), E. Just (54'), M. Mohebi (64').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.98 units (Brier 0.253).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.93	2.02	51%	Cashed	+0.93	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.37	2.38	40%	Cashed	+1.37	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.72	2.75	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.69	1.64	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.08	2.20	45%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Home Win	1.82	1.78	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.57	1.57	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.42	1.43	66%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Away Win	4.68	4.88	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.18	1.18	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.48	4.50	21%	Cashed	+3.48	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.75	7.58	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.45	3.50	26%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.19	1.18	75%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.40	3.52	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.32	1.29	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.98u	+6% ROI