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Home › World › World Cup › Iran — New Zealand

Predictions by Market: Iran vs New Zealand

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Iran
Iran
Home · last 5 D D D
Kick-off
Tue 16 Jun · 01:00
2:2
Full-time
New Zealand
New Zealand
D L L Away · last 5
Referee César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · IRN
49%
Best 1.85
Draw
26%
Best 3.57
Away Win · NZL
25%
Best 5.14
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.68
Fair odds
4.07
book 4.68 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 25% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (49%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.5%
Odds 4.68
Show model details
Implied probability 21.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 39.9%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 34.3%
Odds 2.72
Show model details
Implied probability 36.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.48
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12%
Odds 7.75
Show model details
Implied probability 12.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 76.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
IRN – NZL @ 4.68
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →