Match Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen May 10, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Union St. Gilloise enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a strong form and a significant quality edge over KV Mechelen. Their offensive prowess is likely to challenge Mechelen's defense, which has struggled recently. The home side's compact block and pressing edge could stifle the visitors, who have shown signs of faltering form and limited attacking threat.

Home advantage with solid recent results
Superior attacking vs. away defense
Mechelen's fragile form and defensive lapses

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

GIL 3-4-2-1 · MEC 3-4-1-2

GIL · 3-4-2-1 3-4-1-2 · MEC

13 Rodriguez

📊 Statistics

GIL 3 – 0 MEC

43%

Possession (%)

57%

2.52

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Union St. Gilloise beat KV Mechelen 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.52 to 0.37. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 5, 6 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.47 units (Brier 0.098).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.34	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	—	51%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.88	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.39	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.59	—	66%	Cashed	+0.59	Cashed
Draw	5.89	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Home Win	1.30	—	74%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.53	—	55%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.05	—	74%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.70	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.52	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.14	—	78%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Away Win	9.20	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	7.10	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−5.47u	−36% ROI

Match Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled