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Home › Belgium › Jupiler Pro League › Antwerp — Charleroi

Antwerp vs Charleroi 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Antwerp
Antwerp
Home · last 5 L L L D W
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 14:00
0:1
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Referee Bert Verbeke, Netherlands
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.82 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.00 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 45% · book 2.01 ✗
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
2.06 – 0.66
Δ +1.40
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.14 — +12.0% better than the market.

Antwerp hosts Charleroi in a tight Jupiler Pro League clash where the quality gap is minimal. Antwerp's home edge is slight, suggesting a balanced contest. Both teams show strong offensive capabilities, but Antwerp's defensive solidity might be tested by Charleroi's sharper attack. Recent form favors Charleroi slightly, hinting at a lively encounter with potential for goals.

  • Compact defensive setup from Antwerp
  • Charleroi's pressing and attacking threat
  • Balanced pace with moderate goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.14 ✓ Cashed
AI 36% Implied 32% +2.14u
+214%
ROI on stake

Statistics

ANT 0 – 1 CHA
55%
Possession (%)
45%
2.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.66
18
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Target
2
10
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
10
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Charleroi won 1–0 away at Antwerp. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.06 to 0.66. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 1 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.76 units (Brier 0.222).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.82 — 55% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 — 50% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.01 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.38 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.77 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.20 — 36% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.68 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.14 — 36% Cashed +2.14 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.58 — 62% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.20 — 30% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.20 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 — 75% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 90% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.90 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.25 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.76u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
ANT – CHA @ 3.14
+12.0%
Edge
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