Match SC Freiburg vs SC Braga May 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Freiburg vs SC Braga looks more balanced than a typical home-favorite setup, but the away side carry the stronger overall edge. Freiburg still benefit from home conditions and should have their moments, especially if they can keep the game compact, but Braga arrive with the better form, sharper attacking threat and a more convincing all-round profile. The most likely script is a competitive match with chances for both teams, while the overall goal pattern leans slightly toward a controlled game rather than a completely open shootout. Braga look better equipped to handle the key moments, though Freiburg remain live enough to keep this close deep into the contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · BRA 3-4-2-1

FRE · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · BRA

31 Matanović

📊 Statistics

FRE 3 – 1 BRA

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.69

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.60

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

68%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

SC Freiburg beat SC Braga 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 85% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 14, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 14 graded markets, 7 landed and 7 missed, for a net -3.00 units (Brier 0.247).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

14 · 7 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	54%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Away Win	4.50	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.30	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5 Goals	2.10	—	51%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 1.5 Goals	1.30	—	76%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 0.5 Goals	1.10	—	94%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.90	—	31%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.30	—	58%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	44%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 3.5 Goals	1.30	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5 Goals	1.90	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 14 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 7 L	−3.00u	−21% ROI