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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Rayo Vallecano

Predictions Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano May 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee J. Manzano
Home Win · ALA
46%
Best 2.41
Draw
26%
Best 3.48
Away Win · RAY
28%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.77
book 1.91 · +7.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 56% · EV +7.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 3.11
Show model details
Implied probability 32.2%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.9%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.4%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 50.7%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
ALA – RAY @ 1.91
+7.7%
Edge
Forecast →