P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 19:00
5:1
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIL
47%
Best 2.60
Draw
24%
Best 3.94
Away Win · ATM
29%
Best 2.65
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 6.00
Fair odds
5.46
book 6.00 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 18% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (82%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 28.5%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 18.3%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.1%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 81.7%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 37.7%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 62.4%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.5%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
VIL – ATM @ 6.00
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →