Match Levante vs Mallorca May 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.02 — +8.7% better than the market.

Levante holds a slight edge at home with a solid defensive setup that matches well against Mallorca's modest attack. Both sides show similar quality, but Levante's recent form and home momentum could tip the balance. Expect a compact game with limited clear-cut chances as both teams prioritize defensive solidity.

Levante's defensive discipline counters Mallorca's attack effectively
Home form advantage and recent positive results favor Levante
Odds suggest a moderate tempo with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.02 ✓ Cashed

AI 54% Implied 50% +1.02u

+102%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LEV 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-3-3

LEV · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · MAL

19 Espí ⚽

Subs used · LEV

23'

Perez ↑ ·

Toljan ↓

64'

Brugue ↑ ·

Losada ↓

90+2'

Tunde ↑ ·

Romero ↓

90+2'

Etta Eyong ↑ ·

Espi ↓

90+2'

Raghouber ↑ ·

A. Olasagasti ↓

Subs used · MAL

46'

Olaizola ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

61'

Virgili ↑ ·

Torre ↓

69'

Asano ↑ ·

Luvumbo ↓

69'

Calatayud ↑ ·

Valjent ↓

79'

Prats ↑ ·

Morlanes ↓

📊 Statistics

LEV 2 – 0 MAL

29%

Possession (%)

71%

2.25

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.35

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

70%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 2 – 0

N. Perez ↓ · J. Toljan ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

23'

N. Perez

Yellow Card

▮

30'

C. Espi

1–0

⚽

32'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

J. Olaizola ↓ · D. Lopez ↑

Substitution 1

61'

⇄

J. Virgili ↓ · P. Torre ↑

Substitution 2

R. Brugue ↓ · I. Losada ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

69'

⇄

T. Asano ↓ · Z. Luvumbo ↑

Substitution 3

69'

⇄

M. Calatayud ↓ · M. Valjent ↑

Substitution 4

M. Ryan

Yellow Card

▮

78'

79'

⇄

A. Prats ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑

Substitution 5

86'

▮

J. Mojica

Red Card

R. Brugue

Red Card

▮

86'

K. Arriaga

Assist · J. A. Olasagasti · 2–0

⚽

87'

K. Tunde ↓ · I. Romero ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90+2'

K. Etta Eyong ↓ · C. Espi ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+2'

U. Raghouber ↓ · J. A. Olasagasti ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+2'

Dela (P)

Penalty · Assist · Dela · 3–0

⚽

90+6'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Levante beat Mallorca 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.25 to 0.35. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 3 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: C. Espi (32'), K. Arriaga (87'). J. Mojica was sent off in the 86' minute. R. Brugue was sent off in the 86' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.94 units (Brier 0.142).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.02	1.91	54%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	2.14	50%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Home Win	2.23	2.10	46%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.73	1.72	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	1.91	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	1.66	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.61	1.56	46%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.55	2.49	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.80	3.80	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.29	72%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.36	1.36	74%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Away Win	3.58	3.55	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	11.00	10.99	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.04	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	1.25	72%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.47	3.40	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	3.10	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.94u	−23% ROI