P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Girona

Predictions Atletico Madrid vs Girona May 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee A. Ruiz
Home Win · ATM
61%
Best 1.83
Draw
24%
Best 4.04
Away Win · GIR
16%
Best 4.52
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.83
Fair odds
1.64
book 1.83 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +11.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 61%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.5%
Odds 3.98
Show model details
Implied probability 25.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 15.6%
Odds 4.62
Show model details
Implied probability 21.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 14.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 61%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 15.6%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84.4%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.