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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Atletico Madrid — Girona

Match Atletico Madrid vs Girona May 17, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Girona
Girona
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee A. Ruiz
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 61% · book 1.83
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.23
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.76
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.94 – 2.18
Δ −0.24
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Atletico Madrid enter this clash with clear home momentum, boasting a solid defensive edge and a potent attack that outmatches Girona’s defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Girona struggles for consistency and goals. The tactical setup favors Atletico’s compact block and set-piece threat, likely controlling the pace in a moderately open game.

  • Home defensive solidity vs away offensive struggles
  • Superior recent form and home advantage
  • Moderate tempo suggests balanced chances but Atletico’s edge prevails

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

ATM 4-4-2 · GIR 4-3-3
Subs used · ATM
46' Almada ↑ · Simeone
61' Sorloth ↑ · Baena
61' Morcillo ↑ · Vargas
63' Lenglet ↑ · Lookman
Subs used · GIR
56' Stuani ↑ · Gil
56' Beltran ↑ · Witsel
63' Echeverri ↑ · Roca
77' Lopez ↑ · Martinez

📊 Statistics

ATM 10 GIR
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.94
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.18
17
Total Shots
25
4
Shots on Target
11
10
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
14
9
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
9
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
0
11
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

11 · 1 – 0
A. Lookman
Assist · A. Griezmann · 1–0
21'
R. Le Normand
Yellow Card
23'
Half-time · 1 – 0
T. Almada ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 1
46'
56'
C. Stuani ↓ · B. Gil ↑
Substitution 1
56'
F. Beltran ↓ · A. Witsel ↑
Substitution 2
A. Sorloth ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 2
61'
J. Morcillo ↓ · O. Vargas ↑
Substitution 3
61'
63'
C. Echeverri ↓ · J. Roca ↑
Substitution 3
C. Lenglet ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 4
63'
77'
D. Lopez ↓ · A. Martinez ↑
Substitution 4
J. Morcillo
Yellow Card
85'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.83 1.75 61% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.23 2.30 44% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.76 1.62 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 2.27 44% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 2.55 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.59 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.09 2.00 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 1.21 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.50 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 1.32 61% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.02 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 1.20 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.98 3.85 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 4.50 21% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.00 14.93 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.62 4.37 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.30 3.23 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.37u −8% ROI