Celta Vigo vs Levante 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.83 — +12.4% better than the market.

Celta Vigo holds a clear quality edge over Levante, backed by stronger overall metrics and a notable home advantage. Despite Celta's recent patchy form, their defensive solidity at home could stifle Levante’s attack, which has been more consistent lately. The match hints at a moderate tempo with balanced goal expectations, suggesting a tactical battle where Celta’s home momentum and defensive discipline may prove decisive.

Home defensive resilience vs away offensive consistency
Levante’s recent form momentum
Moderate pace favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.83 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · LEV 4-2-3-1

CEL · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · LEV

23 Álvarez

Subs used · CEL

66'

Duran ↑ ·

Aspas ↓

66'

Swedberg ↑ ·

Alvarez ↓

66'

Iglesias ↑ ·

Rueda ↓

76'

Mingueza ↑ ·

Sotelo ↓

76'

El Abdellaoui ↑ ·

Jutgla ↓

Subs used · LEV

46'

Losada ↑ ·

Tunde ↓

61'

Brugue ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

62'

Raghouber ↑ ·

Martinez ↓

77'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Varela Pampin ↓

86'

Romero ↑ ·

Espi ↓

Statistics

CEL 2 – 3 LEV

57%

Possession (%)

43%

2.07

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 2 – 3

F. Jutgla

Assist · H. Alvarez · 1–0

⚽

43'

⚽

K. Arriaga

Assist · J. Toljan · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

46'

⇄

I. Losada ↓ · K. Tunde ↑

Substitution 1

F. Jutgla

Assist · J. Rueda · 2–1

⚽

48'

57'

⚽

Dela

Assist · K. Arriaga · 2–2

60'

▮

D. Varela Pampin

Yellow Card

61'

⇄

R. Brugue ↓ · V. Garcia ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

U. Raghouber ↓ · P. Martinez ↑

Substitution 3

63'

⚽

R. Brugue

Assist · J. A. Olasagasti · 2–3

P. Duran ↓ · I. Aspas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

W. Swedberg ↓ · H. Alvarez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

B. Iglesias ↓ · J. Rueda ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

66'

O. Mingueza ↓ · H. Sotelo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

77'

⇄

M. Sanchez ↓ · D. Varela Pampin ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

I. Romero ↓ · C. Espi ↑

Substitution 5

90'

▮

M. Ryan

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Levante won 3–2 away at Celta Vigo. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.07 to 1.46. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.46 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: F. Jutgla (4'), K. Arriaga (43'), F. Jutgla (48'), Dela (57'), R. Brugue (63').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.90 units (Brier 0.321).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.83	1.85	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	2.05	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.05	2.04	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.86	1.80	50%	Cashed	+0.86	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	1.73	51%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.10	1.97	39%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.20	4.00	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	1.22	84%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	1.40	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	2.88	29%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.32	1.39	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	12.05	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.04	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	1.23	74%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Draw	4.01	3.75	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.60	4.08	16%	Cashed	+3.60	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.30	3.12	16%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.90u	+11% ROI

Celta Vigo vs Levante 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled