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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Valencia — Rayo Vallecano

Match Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano May 14, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Valencia
Valencia
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Thu 14 May · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
W D D W W Away · last 5
Estadio de Mestalla · Valencia Referee A. Quintero
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 52% · book 2.29
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.91
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.91
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.69 – 1.21
Δ −0.52
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Valencia holds a clear quality edge and home momentum at Estadio de Mestalla, backed by a solid defensive record that could frustrate Rayo Vallecano. The visitors show resilience but face a tough task breaking down Valencia’s compact block. Recent form slightly favors the hosts, suggesting a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring chances.

  • Valencia’s home defensive solidity vs Rayo’s moderate attack
  • Home momentum and slightly better form
  • Expected moderate pace with a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VAL 4-4-2 · RAY 4-3-3
Subs used · VAL
32' Nunez ↑ · Saravia
61' Ramazani ↑ · Guerra
61' Sadiq ↑ · Duro
61' Ugrinic ↑ · Pepelu
63' Vazquez ↑ · Gaya
Subs used · RAY
60' Alemao ↑ · Nteka
60' de Frutos ↑ · Perez
61' Ciss ↑ · Valentin
67' Lopez ↑ · Gumbau
73' Ratiu ↑ · Balliu

📊 Statistics

VAL 11 RAY
53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.69
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.21
12
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
1
6
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
20
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
Renzo Saravia
Yellow Card
6'
8'
R. Nteka (P)
Penalty · Assist · R. Nteka · 0–1
20'
F. Lejeune
Assist · G. Gumbau · 0–2
U. Nunez ↓ · Renzo Saravia ↑
Substitution 1
32'
D. Lopez
Assist · J. Guerra · 1–2
40'
Half-time · 1 – 2
56'
R. Nteka
Yellow Card
60'
Alemao ↓ · R. Nteka ↑
Substitution 1
60'
J. de Frutos ↓ · F. Perez ↑
Substitution 2
61'
P. Ciss ↓ · O. Valentin ↑
Substitution 3
L. Ramazani ↓ · J. Guerra ↑
Substitution 2
61'
U. Sadiq ↓ · H. Duro ↑
Substitution 3
61'
F. Ugrinic ↓ · Pepelu ↑
Substitution 4
61'
J. Vazquez ↓ · J. Gaya ↑
Substitution 5
63'
67'
U. Lopez ↓ · G. Gumbau ↑
Substitution 4
73'
A. Ratiu ↓ · I. Balliu ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.29 2.26 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 1.88 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 1.73 55% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.10 2.15 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 1.89 48% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.67 1.56 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.70 1.64 48% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.40 2.50 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.38 1.30 77% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 3.10 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.80 4.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 8.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.25 1.25 77% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.06 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.60 3.05 26% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.36 1.36 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Away Win 3.35 3.60 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.81u −17% ROI