Match Girona vs Mallorca May 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.06 — +14.1% better than the market.

Girona hosts Mallorca in a La Liga clash where the away side holds a slight quality edge, but Girona’s home defensive solidity could keep things tight. Recent form favors Girona’s home momentum, while Mallorca’s attack faces a tough defensive test. The match hints at a controlled tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, as both teams show cautious approaches and a compact block strategy.

Girona’s defensive resilience at home
Mallorca’s moderate attacking threat
Balanced recent form with slight home edge

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 49% +1.06u

+106%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GIR 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-2-3-1

GIR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · MAL

14 Echeverri

Subs used · GIR

70'

Gil ↑ ·

Roca ↓

70'

Stuani ↑ ·

Echeverri ↓

74'

Rincon ↑ ·

Blind ↓

74'

Lemar ↑ ·

Beltran ↓

Subs used · MAL

46'

Virgili ↑ ·

Kalumba ↓

66'

Luvumbo ↑ ·

Torre ↓

72'

Sanchez ↑ ·

Virgili ↓

78'

Llabres ↑ ·

Morlanes ↓

79'

Lopez ↑ ·

Darder ↓

📊 Statistics

GIR 0 – 1 MAL

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.43

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.18

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

15 · 0 – 1

43'

⚽

Samu Costa

Assist · J. Mojica · 0–1

V. Tsygankov

Yellow Card

▮

45+1'

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

J. Virgili ↓ · J. Kalumba ↑

Substitution 1

58'

▮

P. Maffeo

Yellow Card

Vitor Reis

Yellow Card

▮

64'

66'

⇄

Z. Luvumbo ↓ · P. Torre ↑

Substitution 2

B. Gil ↓ · J. Roca ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

70'

C. Stuani ↓ · C. Echeverri ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

70'

72'

⇄

A. Sanchez ↓ · J. Virgili ↑

Substitution 3

H. Rincon ↓ · D. Blind ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

T. Lemar ↓ · F. Beltran ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

78'

⇄

J. Llabres ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑

Substitution 4

79'

⇄

D. Lopez ↓ · S. Darder ↑

Substitution 5

82'

▮

J. Mojica

Yellow Card

T. Lemar

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Mallorca won 1–0 away at Girona. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Samu Costa (43').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.06 units (Brier 0.225).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.06	1.91	55%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS No	2.15	2.07	51%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.82	1.78	60%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.75	2.67	34%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	1.91	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.10	2.00	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	1.70	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	1.33	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Away Win	3.84	3.79	34%	Cashed	+2.84	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.00	3.80	31%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.31	1.25	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.10	10.99	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.10	3.19	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.54	1.51	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	1.04	90%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.58	3.45	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.25	1.25	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.06u	+12% ROI