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Home Spain La Liga Alaves — Athletic Club

Predictions Alaves vs Athletic Club May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 16:30
2:4
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Home Win · ALA
34%
Best 2.90
Draw
26%
Best 3.39
Away Win · BIL
40%
Best 2.66
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.68
Fair odds
2.49
book 2.68 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +7.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30.2%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.6%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 40.2%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 34.1%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 59.8%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.