P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Alaves — Athletic Club

Match Alaves vs Athletic Club May 2, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Alaves
Alaves
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 16:30
2:4
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
W L L D L Away · last 5
Estadio Mendizorrotza · Vitoria-Gasteiz Referee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 40% · book 2.68
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.86
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.00
Total goals
6
2 · 4
xG (open play)
0.49 – 0.92
Δ −0.43
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Alaves hold a slight home edge with a compact defensive setup that challenges Athletic Club's attacking efforts. Recent form favors Alaves, showing more consistency and momentum, while Athletic's defense looks vulnerable against Alaves' pressing style. The match hints at a tactical battle with moderate pace, likely producing a tight scoreline under 2.5 goals.

  • Alaves' defensive solidity counters Athletic's offense
  • Home momentum supports a disciplined performance
  • Moderate tempo suggests fewer goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

ALA 24 BIL
50%
Possession (%)
50%
0.49
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.92
7
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
6
4
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
13
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

22 · 2 – 4
A. Blanco
Assist · A. Perez · 1–0
8'
T. Martinez
Yellow Card
28'
41'
E. Valverde
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↓ · M. Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 1
46'
R. Navarro ↓ · I. Williams ↑
Substitution 2
46'
O. Sancet ↓ · U. Gomez ↑
Substitution 3
46'
R. Navarro
Assist · N. Williams · 1–1
P. Ibanez
Yellow Card
49'
60'
G. Guruzeta
Yellow Card
A. Blanco
Yellow Card
60'
J. Guridi ↓ · D. Suarez ↑
Substitution 1
62'
A. Guevara ↓ · P. Ibanez ↑
Substitution 2
62'
N. Tenaglia
Assist · A. Rebbach · 2–1
68'
C. Alena ↓ · I. Diabate ↑
Substitution 3
73'
73'
J. Areso ↓ · A. Gorosabel ↑
Substitution 4
74'
O. Sancet
Assist · Y. Berchiche · 2–2
76'
N. Williams
Yellow Card
83'
N. Williams
Assist · G. Guruzeta · 2–3
84'
M. Jauregizar
Yellow Card
87'
N. Williams
Assist · G. Guruzeta · 2–4
89'
A. Boiro ↓ · N. Williams ↑
Substitution 5
C. Alena
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 2 – 4

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.68 2.53 40% Cashed +1.68 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.86 1.79 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.00 1.93 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.80 2.75 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 2.10 44% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 1.80 50% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.94 1.87 40% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.00 2.03 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 1.42 66% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 1.50 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 3.19 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 10.50 9.01 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 1.22 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 1.03 90% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 1.32 70% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.50 3.25 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.50 3.72 24% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.09u −6% ROI