P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Celta Vigo — Elche
Spain   /   La Liga
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 03 May · 12:00
3:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.85
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.18
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.15
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
0.82 – 1.45
Δ −0.63
Possession
33% – 67%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Celta Vigo holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite a poor recent run. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Elche's less robust backline, suggesting a tactical battle where Vigo's compact block could frustrate the visitors. However, Elche's recent form shows resilience and attacking intent, hinting at potential counterattacks. The match pace is likely moderate, favoring a controlled game with limited goal-scoring chances.

  • Home defensive strength vs away offensive pressure
  • Recent form favors Elche's momentum
  • Moderate tempo suggests tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CEL 3-4-2-1 · ELC 3-4-1-2
Subs used · CEL
46' Fernandez ↑ · Rueda
63' El Abdellaoui ↑ · Aspas
71' Swedberg ↑ · Alvarez
71' Iglesias ↑ · Jutgla
78' Mingueza ↑ · Nunez
Subs used · ELC
58' Chust ↑ · Affengruber
58' Neto ↑ · Villar
69' Josan ↑ · Pedrosa
69' Fort ↑ · Morente
77' Cepeda ↑ · Aguado

📊 Statistics

CEL 31 ELC
33%
Possession (%)
67%
0.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
6
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
8
5
Shots Inside Box
11
4
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
15
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
2
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

17 · 3 – 1
H. Alvarez
Assist · J. Rueda · 1–0
14'
28'
Gonzalo Villar
Yellow Card
I. Aspas
Assist · F. Jutgla · 2–0
30'
Javier Rueda
Yellow Card
41'
Half-time · 2 – 0
M. Fernandez ↓ · J. Rueda ↑
Substitution 1
46'
58'
V. Chust ↓ · D. Affengruber ↑
Substitution 1
58'
M. Neto ↓ · G. Villar ↑
Substitution 2
J. El Abdellaoui ↓ · I. Aspas ↑
Substitution 2
63'
69'
Josan ↓ · A. Pedrosa ↑
Substitution 3
69'
H. Fort ↓ · Tete Morente ↑
Substitution 4
W. Swedberg ↓ · H. Alvarez ↑
Substitution 3
71'
B. Iglesias ↓ · F. Jutgla ↑
Substitution 4
71'
77'
L. Cepeda ↓ · M. Aguado ↑
Substitution 5
O. Mingueza ↓ · A. Nunez ↑
Substitution 5
78'
82'
Andre Silva (P)
Penalty · 2–1
Yoel Lago
Yellow Card
83'
B. Iglesias
Assist · W. Swedberg · 3–1
85'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.85 60% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.18 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.79 48% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 50% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.06 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 28% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 84% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.32 60% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.50 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 92% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.00 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.22 73% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Away Win 4.57 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.30 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.09u −24% ROI