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Home Spain La Liga Elche — Atletico Madrid

Predictions Elche vs Atletico Madrid April 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Wed 22 Apr · 17:00
3:2
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
Home Win · ELC
29%
Best 2.35
Draw
24%
Best 3.65
Away Win · ATM
47%
Best 2.80
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.31
Fair odds
2.11
book 2.31 · +9.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +9.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.88
Show model details
Implied probability 25.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 23.9%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.1%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 44%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.