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Home Spain La Liga Oviedo — Villarreal

Predictions Oviedo vs Villarreal April 23, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Thu 23 Apr · 19:30
1:1
Full-time
Villarreal
Villarreal
W D L L W Away · last 5
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea, Spain
Home Win · OVI
19%
Best 3.72
Draw
27%
Best 3.44
Away Win · VIL
55%
Best 2.20
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.06
Fair odds
1.89
book 2.06 · +9.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +9.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 54.6%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.5%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 18.9%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 9.5%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.5%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 24%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.9%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 18.9%
Odds 2.79
Show model details
Implied probability 35.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 45.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 81.1%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
OVI – VIL @ 2.06
+9.0%
Edge
Forecast →