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Home Spain La Liga Elche — Valencia

Predictions Elche vs Valencia April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Elche
Elche
Home · last 5 L D L W D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 14:15
1:0
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Elche Referee Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
Home Win · ELC
44%
Best 2.55
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · VAL
30%
Best 2.80
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.28
book 2.50 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 44% · EV +9.6%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 43.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 29.6%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26.6%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 29.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.3%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 29.6%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 56.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.4%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.