P
Prognosist
P
Home Spain La Liga Real Sociedad — Alaves

Predictions Real Sociedad vs Alaves April 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Home · last 5 L D D L D
Kick-off
Sat 11 Apr · 12:00
3:3
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
L D W W L Away · last 5
Referee V. Garcia
Home Win · RSO
61%
Best 1.74
Draw
24%
Best 3.75
Away Win · ALA
14%
Best 4.80
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.82
Fair odds
1.63
book 1.82 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 61% · EV +11.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 14.4%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 74.5%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 25.5%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 9.3%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes
Probability 49%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 14.4%
Odds 3.63
Show model details
Implied probability 27.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 85.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.