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Home › Spain › La Liga › Celta Vigo — Oviedo

Celta Vigo vs Oviedo 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 16:30
0:3
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Referee Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.71 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.91 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.87 ✓
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
0.91 – 1.71
Δ −0.80
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.71 — +10.2% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.71 ✗ Lost
AI 64% Implied 58% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · OVI 4-2-3-1
CEL · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · OVI 13 Radu 14 Núñez 4 Aidoo 20 Alonso 17 Rueda 8 López 15 Vecino 5 Carreira 36 Antañón 18 Durán 19 Swedberg 13 Escandell 22 Vidal 2 Bailly 12 Calvo 25 López 6 Sibo 23 Fonseca 7 Chaira 5 Reina ⚽ 15 Fernández 9 Viñas ⚽
Subs used · CEL
46' Moriba ↑ · Vecino ↓
46' Aspas ↑ · Antanon ↓
60' Iglesias ↑ · Duran ↓
60' Mingueza ↑ · Nunez ↓
60' Jutgla ↑ · Swedberg ↓
Subs used · OVI
66' Hassan ↑ · Fernandez ↓
74' Costas ↑ · Reina ↓
74' Colombatto ↑ · Fonseca ↓
83' Borbas ↑ · Vinas ↓
83' Alhassane ↑ · Chaira ↓

Statistics

CEL 0 – 3 OVI
68%
Possession (%)
32%
0.91
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.71
9
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
5
1
Shots off Target
2
5
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
1
2
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
13
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

16 · 0 – 3
4'
⚽
A. Reina
0–1
45'
⚽
F. Vinas
Assist · I. Chaira · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
I. Moriba ↓ · M. Vecino ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
I. Aspas ↓ · A. Antanon ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
Fer López
Yellow Card
▮
56'
57'
⚽
F. Vinas
Assist · T. Fernandez · 0–3
B. Iglesias ↓ · P. Duran ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
60'
O. Mingueza ↓ · A. Nunez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
60'
F. Jutgla ↓ · W. Swedberg ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
60'
66'
⇄
H. Hassan ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 1
69'
▮
Nicolas Fonseca
Yellow Card
74'
⇄
D. Costas ↓ · A. Reina ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
S. Colombatto ↓ · N. Fonseca ↑
Substitution 3
83'
⇄
T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
R. Alhassane ↓ · I. Chaira ↑
Substitution 5
90+2'
▮
Abdel Rahim
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 3

Match recap

Oviedo won 3–0 away at Celta Vigo. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.71 to 0.91. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Reina (4'), F. Vinas (45'), F. Vinas (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.31 units (Brier 0.286).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.71 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.87 — 54% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.03 — 45% Cashed +1.03 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.27 — 36% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.60 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 — 86% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 76% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.37 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 — 70% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.58 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 — 14% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.90 — 14% Cashed +2.90 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +2.31u +14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
CEL – OVI @ 1.71
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →