Match Oviedo vs Sevilla April 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.90 — +11.8% better than the market.

Sevilla holds a clear quality edge over Oviedo, reflected in their stronger overall profile and offensive potential. Oviedo's home advantage is limited by a defensive setup that struggles against Sevilla's pressing and creativity. Both sides show similar recent form, but Sevilla's sharper attack against Oviedo's leaky defense suggests a controlled away win. Expect a moderately paced game with a compact block from Oviedo and Sevilla probing patiently for chances.

Sevilla's offensive edge vs Oviedo's defense
Home side's defensive resilience tested
Moderate tempo with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.90 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 53% +0.90u

+90%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · SEV 4-2-3-1

OVI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SEV

9 Viñas ⚽

Subs used · OVI

59'

Colombatto ↑ ·

Sibo ↓

59'

Borbas ↑ ·

Vinas ↓

72'

Cazorla ↑ ·

Reina ↓

72'

Hassan ↑ ·

Fernandez ↓

85'

Alhassane ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

Subs used · SEV

46'

Bueno ↑ ·

Sow ↓

46'

Castrin ↑ ·

A. Carmona ↓

72'

Romero ↑ ·

Mendy ↓

73'

Suazo ↑ ·

Oso ↓

80'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Vargas ↓

📊 Statistics

OVI 1 – 0 SEV

70%

Possession (%)

30%

0.61

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.65

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

60%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 1 – 0

Federico Viñas

Yellow Card

▮

13'

F. Vinas

Assist · A. Reina · 1–0

⚽

32'

38'

▮

Tanguy Nianzou

Red Card

43'

▮

José Ángel Carmona

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

M. Bueno ↓ · D. Sow ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

Castrin ↓ · J. A. Carmona ↑

Substitution 2

Javi López

Yellow Card

▮

53'

54'

▮

Kike Salas

Yellow Card

S. Colombatto ↓ · K. Sibo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

59'

69'

▮

Manu Bueno

Yellow Card

S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

H. Hassan ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

72'

⇄

I. Romero ↓ · B. Mendy ↑

Substitution 3

73'

⇄

G. Suazo ↓ · Oso ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

C. Ejuke ↓ · R. Vargas ↑

Substitution 5

R. Alhassane ↓ · J. Lopez ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

85'

Nicolas Fonseca

Yellow Card

▮

89'

Eric Bailly

Yellow Card

▮

90'

Ilyas Chaira

Yellow Card

▮

90+2'

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Oviedo beat Sevilla 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Vinas (32'). Tanguy Nianzou was sent off in the 38' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.78 units (Brier 0.216).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.90	—	59%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.63	—	66%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.97	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.49	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.00	—	26%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Away Win	2.89	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.90	—	40%	Cashed	+1.90	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.45	—	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.13	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.47	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	56%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Home Win	2.98	—	26%	Cashed	+1.98	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	—	84%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	86%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.60	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.78u	−10% ROI