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Home › Spain › La Liga › Oviedo — Sevilla

Oviedo vs Sevilla 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 16:30
1:0
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.90 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.63 ✓
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 44% · book 1.97 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.61 – 0.65
Δ −0.04
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 2.90 — +15.0% better than the market.

Sevilla holds a clear quality edge over Oviedo, reflected in their stronger overall profile and offensive potential. Oviedo's home advantage is limited by a defensive setup that struggles against Sevilla's pressing and creativity. Both sides show similar recent form, but Sevilla's sharper attack against Oviedo's leaky defense suggests a controlled away win. Expect a moderately paced game with a compact block from Oviedo and Sevilla probing patiently for chances.

  • Sevilla's offensive edge vs Oviedo's defense
  • Home side's defensive resilience tested
  • Moderate tempo with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 2.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 40% Implied 34% +1.90u
+190%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · SEV 4-2-3-1
OVI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SEV 13 Escandell 22 Vidal 2 Bailly 12 Calvo 25 López 6 Sibo 23 Fonseca 7 Chaira 5 Reina 15 Fernández 9 Viñas ⚽ 1 Vlachodimos 2 Carmona 5 Nianzou 4 Salas 36 Oso 19 Mendy 6 Gudelj 16 Sánchez 20 Sow 11 Vargas 9 Adams
Subs used · OVI
59' Colombatto ↑ · Sibo ↓
59' Borbas ↑ · Vinas ↓
72' Cazorla ↑ · Reina ↓
72' Hassan ↑ · Fernandez ↓
85' Alhassane ↑ · Lopez ↓
Subs used · SEV
46' Bueno ↑ · Sow ↓
46' Castrin ↑ · A. Carmona ↓
72' Romero ↑ · Mendy ↓
73' Suazo ↑ · Oso ↓
80' Ejuke ↑ · Vargas ↓

Statistics

OVI 1 – 0 SEV
70%
Possession (%)
30%
0.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
7
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
7
3
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
60%
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

20 · 1 – 0
Federico Viñas
Yellow Card
▮
13'
F. Vinas
Assist · A. Reina · 1–0
⚽
32'
38'
▮
Tanguy Nianzou
Red Card
43'
▮
José Ángel Carmona
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
M. Bueno ↓ · D. Sow ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
Castrin ↓ · J. A. Carmona ↑
Substitution 2
Javi López
Yellow Card
▮
53'
54'
▮
Kike Salas
Yellow Card
S. Colombatto ↓ · K. Sibo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
69'
▮
Manu Bueno
Yellow Card
S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
H. Hassan ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
72'
⇄
I. Romero ↓ · B. Mendy ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
G. Suazo ↓ · Oso ↑
Substitution 4
80'
⇄
C. Ejuke ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 5
R. Alhassane ↓ · J. Lopez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
Nicolas Fonseca
Yellow Card
▮
89'
Eric Bailly
Yellow Card
▮
90'
Ilyas Chaira
Yellow Card
▮
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Oviedo beat Sevilla 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Vinas (32'). Tanguy Nianzou was sent off in the 38' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.78 units (Brier 0.216).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.90 — 59% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.63 — 66% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.97 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.49 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.00 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.00 — 26% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Away Win 2.89 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 — 40% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.45 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.13 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.47 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 56% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Home Win 2.98 — 26% Cashed +1.98 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.22 — 84% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 — 86% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.60 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.78u −10% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
OVI – SEV @ 2.90
+15.0%
Edge
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