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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Oviedo — Sevilla

Match Oviedo vs Sevilla April 5, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Oviedo
Oviedo
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sun 05 Apr · 16:30
1:0
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere · Oviedo Referee Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.90
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 66% · book 1.63
Miss
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 44% · book 1.97
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.61 – 0.65
Δ −0.04
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.90 — +11.8% better than the market.

Sevilla holds a clear quality edge over Oviedo, reflected in their stronger overall profile and offensive potential. Oviedo's home advantage is limited by a defensive setup that struggles against Sevilla's pressing and creativity. Both sides show similar recent form, but Sevilla's sharper attack against Oviedo's leaky defense suggests a controlled away win. Expect a moderately paced game with a compact block from Oviedo and Sevilla probing patiently for chances.

  • Sevilla's offensive edge vs Oviedo's defense
  • Home side's defensive resilience tested
  • Moderate tempo with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 1.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 53% +0.90u
+90%
ROI on stake

Lineups

OVI 4-2-3-1 · SEV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · OVI
59' Colombatto ↑ · Sibo
59' Borbas ↑ · Vinas
72' Cazorla ↑ · Reina
72' Hassan ↑ · Fernandez
85' Alhassane ↑ · Lopez
Subs used · SEV
46' Bueno ↑ · Sow
46' Castrin ↑ · A. Carmona
72' Romero ↑ · Mendy
73' Suazo ↑ · Oso
80' Ejuke ↑ · Vargas

📊 Statistics

OVI 10 SEV
70%
Possession (%)
30%
0.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.65
7
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
0
2
Shots off Target
7
3
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
12
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
60%
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

20 · 1 – 0
Federico Viñas
Yellow Card
13'
F. Vinas
Assist · A. Reina · 1–0
32'
38'
Tanguy Nianzou
Red Card
43'
José Ángel Carmona
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
M. Bueno ↓ · D. Sow ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Castrin ↓ · J. A. Carmona ↑
Substitution 2
Javi López
Yellow Card
53'
54'
Kike Salas
Yellow Card
S. Colombatto ↓ · K. Sibo ↑
Substitution 1
59'
T. Borbas ↓ · F. Vinas ↑
Substitution 2
59'
69'
Manu Bueno
Yellow Card
S. Cazorla ↓ · A. Reina ↑
Substitution 3
72'
H. Hassan ↓ · T. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 4
72'
72'
I. Romero ↓ · B. Mendy ↑
Substitution 3
73'
G. Suazo ↓ · Oso ↑
Substitution 4
80'
C. Ejuke ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 5
R. Alhassane ↓ · J. Lopez ↑
Substitution 5
85'
Nicolas Fonseca
Yellow Card
89'
Eric Bailly
Yellow Card
90'
Ilyas Chaira
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.90 59% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.63 66% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.97 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.49 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.00 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.00 26% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Away Win 2.89 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 40% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.45 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.13 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.47 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 56% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Home Win 2.98 26% Cashed +1.98 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.22 84% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 86% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.60 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.78u −10% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS No
OVI – SEV @ 1.90
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →